Will Boris Nadezhdin be the head of Russia before EOY 2030?
Plus
12
Ṁ11892030
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A presidential election is planned in Russia for 15-17 March 2024.
Boris Nadezhdin intends to run for president. He openly opposes the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Elections in Russia aren't free and fair. Opposition to the invasion is repressed.
I will resolve YES if Nadezhdin holds the position that, at the time, is the position of the head of state (like the president currently). If the position of the head of state shifts to someone else (like the prime minister), I'll resolve accordingly.
If Russia ceases to exist and Nadezhdin has not ever been head of state by then, I will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Boris Nadezhdin be free and in Russia at the end of 2024?
81% chance
Will Boris Nadezhdin be declared a foreign agent before the end of 2024?
18% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2030?
30% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2029?
46% chance
Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
50% chance
Will Putin die before 2030?
42% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2027?
60% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2032?
29% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2030?
29% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2031?
20% chance