Will $AAPL go up after earnings? (Feb 2024)
22
410Ṁ1742
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
NO

Apple announces earnings after market close on February 1st.

The baseline will be the stock price at stock market close on February 1st, before earnings announcement. I will update the manifold market with this price when known.

Edit: baseline is $186.86.

This market resolves yes if the stock price at market close on February 2nd is higher than the baseline. N/A if prices are equal. No otherwise.

This market closes at the end of day February 1st, before stock trading on Feb 2nd starts.

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predictedNO

$185.85 at close. Resolved no.

predictedNO

Resolves No

predictedNO

Ruh roh

predictedNO

@MarkHamill Gonna be a nail biter this one.

predictedNO

Very strange to me that people are buying this above 50%, when the stock is down over 3% from the baseline after-hours. What am I missing?

predictedNO

@IsaacCarruthers Temporal market inefficiency I guess.

Baseline at market close is $186.86

Similar markets for Meta and Amazon

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