Meta announces earnings after market close on February 1st.
The baseline will be the stock price at stock market close on February 1st, before earnings announcement. I will update the manifold market with this price when known.
Edit: Baseline is $394.78.
This market resolves yes if the stock price at market close on February 2nd is higher than the baseline. N/A if prices are equal. No otherwise.
This market closes at the end of day February 1st, before stock trading on Feb 2nd starts.
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I had never seen a 99.x% market on Manifold before for something that didn’t occur yet.
@Fedor It's reasonable IMHO. The after-hours trading price is up 12%. What events could happen in the next 24h that could cause that to fully reverse? Something somewhat less than 1% likely I'd think.
@chrisjbillington I didn't think to check the after hours trading, only saw the 1% stock price increase.
@SirCryptomind They are KILLING BEARS.
I was about to buy META calls I hate myself for not doing it now :'( I am disappointed by AAPL and my day is ruined