Will $META go up after earnings? (Feb 2024)
90
1.3kṀ34k
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
YES

Meta announces earnings after market close on February 1st.

The baseline will be the stock price at stock market close on February 1st, before earnings announcement. I will update the manifold market with this price when known.

Edit: Baseline is $394.78.

This market resolves yes if the stock price at market close on February 2nd is higher than the baseline. N/A if prices are equal. No otherwise.

This market closes at the end of day February 1st, before stock trading on Feb 2nd starts.

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$474.99 at close. Resolved yes.

predictedYES

This can resolve to YES

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 97% order

Another limit order, one percentage point lower since the last one went so quickly!

I had never seen a 99.x% market on Manifold before for something that didn’t occur yet.

@voodoo Yeah, this is awful high

predictedNO

@Fedor It's reasonable IMHO. The after-hours trading price is up 12%. What events could happen in the next 24h that could cause that to fully reverse? Something somewhat less than 1% likely I'd think.

@voodoo Ṁ10k YES limit order at 98% if you're thinking about betting NO.

@chrisjbillington I gotta short META it's my duty

predictedNO

@chrisjbillington I didn't think to check the after hours trading, only saw the 1% stock price increase.

predictedYES

Just craziness 😂

@SirCryptomind Earning beat, outlook beat, and everyone gets a dividend. Madness.

predictedYES

@Lion this is a market I was talking about lol

predictedYES

@SirCryptomind They are KILLING BEARS.

I was about to buy META calls I hate myself for not doing it now :'( I am disappointed by AAPL and my day is ruined

predictedYES

predictedNO

Baseline at Feb1 market close is 394.78.

predictedNO

Also see market for Apple

Also see similar markets for MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN

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