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MANIFOLD
Will V940 get approval from the FDA for lung cancer?
5
Ṁ70Ṁ181
2030
91%
chance

V940-002 is a personalized cancer vaccine (Moderna) + pembrolizumab (Merck). The trial (link) is on patients with resected non small cell lung cancer. Will it pass phase 3 and get approval?

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The trial I linked to is for lung cancer, but V940 is in several other trials as well (see e.g. this press release) - I'm inclined to resolve YES if any of them get approval (and would have said so when I made this market), but I realize it's very old so if anyone objects to me changing the criteria now say so.