How Many Electoral Votes Will Donald Trump Receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
➕
Plus
36
Ṁ3770
Jan 1
312
expected

Resolves to the bucket that contains the number of electoral votes Donald Trump receives in the 2024 US Presidential Election.

If the value falls out of the range of 145-395, it will resolve to the closest bucket. If the value falls into multiple bucket, it will resolve to the higher one.

Will extend market resolution as necessary. DM with any questions.

Examples:

272 would resolve to the bucket of 270-275

403 would resolve to the bucket of 390-395

143 would resolve to the bucket of 145-150

210 would resolve to the bucket of 210-215

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Election results coming in!

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ELECTION DAY

@traders

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Three days to go!

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Exactly one more week until election day!

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Few weeks left!

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debate bump

Uhh, I think the documentation pretty explicitly doesn't match the user interface:

210 will resolve to the bucket 210-215, the interface explicitly says so, even if the description doesn't match that. Can we either get an acknowledgement in the description that we're disagreeing with the interface, or an update of the description to match the interface?

@DavidFWatson sorry! at the time i made this market, i believe it was more ambiguous. i’ll update the description. thank you for bringing this up!

bought Ṁ2 230-235 YES

Question: how did you make this a mini market?

That was probably still possible when the market was created on March 29, 2024.

Ahhh. Shame its not possible anymore :')

bought Ṁ0 155-160 YES

@ScipioFabius On the other hand, I can see why: The liquidity is so low, even 1 mana bets can completely mess up the distribution…

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Kamala bump!

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267 seems really low at the moment!

Lots of value here!

Why close in November? EC doesn't vote until December.

@AlQuinn sorry i was thinking about election day

just updated, will potentially resolve early or extend resolution

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