What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
485
3.7kṀ90k
Oct 10
99.6%
used a bolt action rifle
99.5%
White
99.4%
20-27 years old
99.2%
The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders
99.2%
Gamer
99.1%
Lives (or has lived) in Utah
99%
Did it on purpose
99%
has at least one sibling
99%
Male
99%
Resided in the same state as the incident
99%
Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?
99%
The shooter killed Charlie Kirk
99%
Native English speaker (L1)
99%
Is a registered voter
99%
ectomorph body type
99%
at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)
99%
Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”
99%
had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk
99%
disliked Charlie Kirk
99%
Is named Tyler Robinson

  • Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ25 NO

@Marnix Interesting idea, but I doubt he would hear the discussion well enough to do it. I think this would require an accomplice

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://nypost.com/2025/09/13/us-news/charlie-kirk-shooter-tyler-robinson-lived-with-transgender-partner/

That makes him gay or bisexual. If you are hetero you do not like penis and in case of vagina, you like the real stuff.

@KripkeSaul

  1. "Man who's a partner of a trans woman" is not intended to be and should not be covered by this. That would typically be included under "queer," if anything, which was not listed

  2. The article stops just short of saying they were in a romantic relationship

  3. There doesn't seem to be much evidence cited that this person is trans outside of one unnamed source. The other person they asked said they didn't know if they were trans or not

  4. The NY Post has been engaging in some pretty motivated reasoning to connect this and past shootings to trans people and I'd hesitate to cite them uncritically for things like this

@KripkeSaul I disagree with your message for other reasons too, but I will point out this is not consistent with Reuters reporting that he lived at his parents house at the time of the shooting

"At the time of the shooting, Robinson was living at his parents' house in Washington, a farming and residential community of approximately 28,000 near Zion National Park in southwestern Utah."

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/who-is-tyler-robinson-suspect-charlie-kirks-murder-2025-09-12/

@Marnix Bullshit. It is not 100% proof ,I agree. But any recourse to "queer" is bullshit. That is one of the most wishy-washy labels out there. The options are:

You like dick.

You like pussy.

You like neither.

You like both.

@MaxMorehead the engravings were on the casings, not the bullets, no? Why is this 99%?

@dgga I meant cartridges. I put imthe response up before it was clear to me whether the "writing on ammo" was fake news.

sold Ṁ1 NO

@vdb do we believe the Utah governor's drop site story?

@Chumchulum Which one?

@vdb

*The governor. Are there other drop site stories? That's crazy

@Chumchulum At this stage I'll just wait for more info to appear. Would bet with <10% confidence there is accomplice, since even if he contacted someone, that person may not qualify as accomplice.

It's like some of y'all don't know about the Reichstag fire

@Lorelai Those who know about that, is DEEP in to WWII history.
Tonkin bay or Stalingrad. Turning points ....... 0.o

bought Ṁ10 YES

It seems the shooter turned himself in via his father, telling his dad where he was after his dad said he would tell the fbi.

The shooter was a student for one semester at a university before going to technical college, does that count?

Obviously, Christianity looks down upon murder. That’s not to say “observant Christians” don’t kill people, but I also don’t think Tyler Robinson was trying to incite a holy war or something. Of course, he could be a nominal church member regardless of Christian identity.

bought Ṁ4 YES

@thepurplebull ermmmm have you been paying attention to the so-called Christian maga government? The entire movement has appropriated Christianity to turn it into something coterminous with intolerance and hatred.

@nonnihil Do you have reason to suspect this? Or is it just a hunch or something?

@jessald Nah, it's just on my metaphorical bingo card. "What would be the dumbest, most appalling next detail for this increasingly dumb and appalling story?"

Do casings count as part of the bullets?

@AndrewHebb Unless specified otherwise, assume yes. You can't have a complete bullet without the casing.

@ac80 Everything I can find online suggests that this is incorrect and that the term "bullet" properly refers to something other than the cartridge case.

@AndrewHebb I meant cartridge.

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Lorelai Unbelievable. A young man who doesn’t share his parents’ politics.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy