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MANIFOLD
How many times will Trump praise Allah in April 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ22
Apr 30
39%
2
25%
3
20%
4
15%
Other

Resolution criteria (from Polymarket)

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Background

President Trump's two recent Truth Social posts invoking "praise be to Allah"—first on Easter Sunday, April 5, threatening Iran over its Strait of Hormuz restrictions, and again on April 11 boasting of setbacks to Iranian leadership—have fueled this market amid heightened US-Iran tensions.

Market context
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Trump is an odd guy.