Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Ireland does not participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 in Vienna—i.e., no Irish act appears in either Semi-Final (May 12 or 14, 2026) or the Grand Final (May 16, 2026), whether because RTÉ withdraws after initially confirming or declines to confirm participation. Verification: the official EBU participants list and live show lineups. (eurovision.tv)
Resolves NO if an Irish act performs in any of the 2026 live shows (Semi-Finals or Final). (eurovision.tv)
If RTÉ publicly announces withdrawal but later competes, resolves NO. If RTÉ announces withdrawal and Ireland is absent from the EBU participants list and live shows, resolves YES. Primary source for resolution: EBU’s Vienna 2026 Participants page; secondary: EBU/Eurovision press releases or RTÉ statements. (eurovision.tv)
Background
RTÉ stated on September 11–12, 2025 that Ireland will not take part in Eurovision 2026 if Israel is allowed to participate; the EBU is consulting members, with confirmations due by mid-December 2025. (reuters.com)
Eurovision 2026 will be hosted in Vienna at Wiener Stadthalle, with Semi-Finals on May 12 and 14 and the Final on May 16, 2026. (eurovision.tv)
Considerations
The EBU publishes an official participants list for each contest; countries can withdraw after initial confirmation, and the list may change before the live shows. Traders should track the Vienna 2026 Participants page for definitive status. (eurovision.tv)
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Why is this already resolved? Resolution criteria include:
Resolves YES if Ireland does not participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 in Vienna—i.e., no Irish act appears in either Semi-Final (May 12 or 14, 2026) or the Grand Final (May 16, 2026)
and
If RTÉ publicly announces withdrawal but later competes, resolves NO.
They announced withdrawal, but we don't know yet whether Ireland is going to compete.
@vee I agree resolution was done early. I don’t think the list of participants is final. I don’t expect the outcome to change, but strictly speaking it cant resolve yet.