Will the USA top 1% total common wealth become less than all the wealth in the Middle Class again at the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will the USA top 1% total common wealth become less than all the wealth in the Middle Class again at the end of 2024?

Economics•United States

21

69

Ṁ842

Ṁ410

Dec 31

19%

chance

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1M

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According to this chart, the top 1% finally has more wealth than the middle class. Will this be restored at end of 2024?

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This seems like one of those questions that's incredibly vulnerable to methodology (e.g. are they including the value of housing and pensions?) I'd want to see the methadology.

Could you add the link to the data source that you will use to resolve this? I think this is a really cool market, but I’d like to grab a spreadsheet of historical data and review their methods before I bet.

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