Will Elon Musk / X Corp follow through on their bot purge & legal action promise? | Manifold

Will Elon Musk / X Corp follow through on their bot purge & legal action promise?

Basic

10

Ṁ344

Dec 31

49%

No reduction in bot activity + no legal action

46%

Verified bots + NUDES IN BIO both reduced significantly & no legal action

43%

Verified bots + NUDES IN BIO both reduced significantly & legal action initiated

27%

Verified bots reduced but NUDES IN BIO bots still active & no legal action

20%

Verified bots reduced but NUDES IN BIO bots still active & legal action initiated

17%

No reduction in both activity + legal action

Based on this: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1775900800520262071

Lots of ways for this to go so I've added a few options based on probable outcomes (you never know with this man) - please feel free to make any suggestions and I'll get them added on.

We shall give him a deadline of this year to either make or break our magic internet point balance.

Any questions, please ask and happy betting! May the odds forever be in your favour.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Whether NUDES IN BIO bots are “significantly reduced” or “still active” will be hard to determine when you resolve. Not really measured anywhere. If half are removed, they would be both significantly reduced” and “still active”.

@CharlieBauer Good point - I will the update the wording so there's actually a threshold and some way to measure it

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Outcome of Elon Musk/X Corp's "thermonuclear lawsuit"

Will Elon Musk or X/Twitter file at least one lawsuit against an entity "responsible" for bots/trolls on X?

Will Disney threaten litigation against Musk, X, or xAI this year over GenAI?

Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy by December 2027?

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Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?

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Will the "X" stock symbol belong to a company affiliated with Elon Musk before 2030?

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