Background A ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached after extensive negotiations, set to begin on January 19, 2025. This marks a potential pause in the 15-month conflict. In the days leading up to the agreement, Israeli airstrikes continued in Gaza, with strikes reported even as negotiations were being finalized.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if there are zero confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Gaza during January 19, 2025 (00:00-23:59 Gaza local time). It will resolve NO if there is at least one confirmed Israeli airstrike during this period.

• An "airstrike" is defined as any aerial bombardment conducted by Israeli forces, including attacks from planes, drones, or helicopters

• Confirmation must come from reliable media sources, official military statements, or verified international observers

• Artillery fire or ground-based attacks do not count as airstrikes

• Defensive measures such as missile interception by the Iron Dome system do not count as airstrikes

Considerations

• Previous ceasefires in this conflict have sometimes experienced violations within the first 24 hours

• The phased nature of this agreement and ongoing tensions may affect compliance

• There may be disputes about whether certain military actions qualify as "airstrikes" - resolution will rely on official confirmations and mainstream media reporting