Will this bet hit 90% yes or 10% no first?
➕
Plus
4
Ṁ14k
resolved Nov 19
Resolved
NO

Hi,

When it comes to self referential, and substanceless questions, I'm apparently becoming king.

THAT'S why I have decided to ask this question:

Will this bet hit 90% yes, or 10% no first?

What this question is asking is: what direction the market will decide to slosh their money around hard enough to win their side first.

Your side may depend on anything that, ahh who cares. Good luck!

Gabe

BTW: Betting ends on Christmas!

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ3,525 NO

@Gabe5QqA resolves NO

bought Ṁ2,500 NO

@Gabe5QqA Resolves no if under 10%?

@Qoiuoiuoiu The bet resolves 'No' if the market will have ever equalled 10% or less, before it hits 90% or more.

bought Ṁ5,000 NO

@Gabe5QqA It has. It seems like it's time to resolve NO?

@Conflux Yup NO wins! LOL, I posted this about an hour ago

@Gabe5QqA It’s all about incentives! For a rich user, your market is free money.

This video goes into more depth about the history of “whalebait” markets on Manifold, if you’re curious: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=84rfk0-bmXY

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