Hi,
When it comes to self referential, and substanceless questions, I'm apparently becoming king.
THAT'S why I have decided to ask this question:
Will this bet hit 90% yes, or 10% no first?
What this question is asking is: what direction the market will decide to slosh their money around hard enough to win their side first.
Your side may depend on anything that, ahh who cares. Good luck!
Gabe
BTW: Betting ends on Christmas!
@Qoiuoiuoiu The bet resolves 'No' if the market will have ever equalled 10% or less, before it hits 90% or more.
@Gabe5QqA It’s all about incentives! For a rich user, your market is free money.
This video goes into more depth about the history of “whalebait” markets on Manifold, if you’re curious: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=84rfk0-bmXY