Will the Andean Bear (Tremarctos ornatus) become extinct in the current century?
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2099
51%
chance

This market will resolve YES if the Andean Bear, also known as Spectacled Bear, is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spectacled_bear

IUCN red list of threatened species

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22066/123792952

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

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According to Wikipedia: Extinction is the termination of a species by the death of its last member.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extinction

Can you please define your use of the term, “extinct.”

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