Will Poland equalize retirement age for men and women by 2050?
Will Poland equalize retirement age for men and women by 2050?
4
100Ṁ3502051
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At the moment Poland is one of the few European countries with different retirement ages by gender, with 60 being the retirement age for women and 65 for men. Any kind of change leading to the retirement age being equal counts (so both making it 60 for both genders and 65 and any other number, as long as it is equal).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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