Is string theory dead?
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Are the most influential results in string theory already produced in the past, or are there bigger discoveries to come?

This market resolves to "Yes", if the most cited paper in string theory on 2075-09-01 is already present today (2025-09-01). Otherwise it resolves to "No". Only papers reporting original results will be considered. Review papers are excluded.

By trading in this market, you agree to let me be the judge for subjective matters associated with this market (e.g., whether a paper is in string theory). When in doubt, ask before trading.

  • Update 2025-09-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Negative results count: Papers reporting original negative evidence against string theory are considered "papers in string theory".

    • Only papers count: Books are not eligible.

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If a paper generated evidence against string theory would it count as a 'paper in string theory'?

What about books?

@stewart A paper reporting original negative evidence against string theory count as a "paper in string theory".

Only papers count. Books do not.

What is the most cited paper in string theory and how many papers have cited it?

@stewart To my current knowledge it is "The Large N Limit of Superconformal Field Theories and Supergravity" by Juan M. Maldacena, with 26744 citations (including non-papers such as books) according to Google scholar.

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