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MANIFOLD
How will I rate Vilenkin 1994? (+free lottery)
50%
chance

Resolution

This market will resolve to x%. Number x will be my personal rating of the following literature on a 0-100 scale after studying it in more detail.

Vilenkin (1994) "Approaches to Quantum Cosmology"

Free Lottery

After the market closes, I will generate a random number M among 1 to 100 using this algorithm. The Mth unique trader of this market wins 300 mana from the lottery prize pool, if such a trader exists. Otherwise, the lottery falls through till next time.

For free play, make a trade with 1 mana and sell it. Your trade will be recorded and you will become a unique trader.

Past winners

@PaperBoy 100Ṁ

@hogshedges 100Ṁ

@Pancarre 300Ṁ

@wolf 400Ṁ

@Chumchulum 200Ṁ

@KarlWang 4000Ṁ

@WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ

@2ndPairofBoots 300Ṁ

@jbm 300Ṁ

@AritificialJudgement 300Ṁ

@Primer 300Ṁ

@Brierbr 300Ṁ

@DaleKirkwood 300Ṁ

@WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ (second time winner)

@Chimpy 300Ṁ

@Chimpy 300Ṁ (second time winner)

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@Handmadefilms 300Ṁ

@AIM 300Ṁ

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
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--- RESOLUTION PROOF ---

Market        : /ttoe/how-will-i-rate-vilenkin-1994-free

Draw Source   : closeTime (1790567580000 ms)

Draw Time     : 2026-09-28 03:53:00 UTC (2026-09-27 23:53:00 EDT ET)

Target Range  : 1 to 100

NIST API Link : https://beacon.nist.gov/beacon/2.0/pulse/time/1790567580000

Pulse Index   : 1960667

Pulse Time    : 2026-09-28T03:53:00.000Z

Output Hex    : 4BD4C8079918FFEFF9F2374722B0886ED43F0BE2E00BA15057AFA0C9BC541C82B4B4C2206FD986640F4730AFAF08D0648040924A7806A3D463D9EA5C634EB6FA

Formula       : (Decimal_Value % 100) + 1

Decimal_Value : 3971601012274933527751765165459608549582084433117137601213650620131439343979410825683015085664388907269276096259349691261040862615465560820097710860187386

FINAL RESULT  : 87

Verify        : open the NIST API Link above,

               compute int(outputValue, 16) % 100 + 1

No 87th unique trader: only 6 unique bettor(s) on this market.