Resolution
This market will resolve to x%. Number x will be my personal rating of the following literature on a 0-100 scale after studying it in more detail.
Vilenkin (1993) "Quantum Cosmology"
Free Lottery
After the market closes, I will generate a random number M among 1 to 100 using this algorithm. The Mth unique trader of this market wins 300 mana from the lottery prize pool, if such a trader exists. Otherwise, the lottery falls through till next time.
For free play, make a trade with 1 mana and sell it. Your trade will be recorded and you will become a unique trader.
Past winners
@PaperBoy 100Ṁ
@hogshedges 100Ṁ
@Pancarre 300Ṁ
@wolf 400Ṁ
@Chumchulum 200Ṁ
@KarlWang 4000Ṁ
@WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ
@2ndPairofBoots 300Ṁ
@jbm 300Ṁ
@Primer 300Ṁ
@Brierbr 300Ṁ
@DaleKirkwood 300Ṁ
@WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ (second time winner)
@Chimpy 300Ṁ
@Chimpy 300Ṁ (second time winner)
@dawxgBot 300Ṁ
@Handmadefilms 300Ṁ
1,000--- RESOLUTION PROOF ---
Market : https://manifold.markets/ttoe/how-will-i-rate-del-vilenkin-1993-f
Draw Source : closeTime (1789961100000 ms)
Draw Time : 2026-09-21 03:25:00 UTC (2026-09-20 23:25:00 EDT ET)
Target Range : 1 to 100
NIST API Link : https://beacon.nist.gov/beacon/2.0/pulse/time/1789961100000
Pulse Index : 1950559
Pulse Time : 2026-09-21T03:25:00.000Z
Output Hex : 5421A9CC7648A97D3D9517284B7F4285885B7060B6E532EDA2FA00D308D913BB980974261E63D24070A56C0A4941EFB70BD11B60C6F87A177C34CFB2FD360BE3
Formula : (Decimal_Value % 100) + 1
Decimal_Value : 4406324042749577766236225993261655610343927040732417924130916034525593899887143718785267581136141240409007798329942063587521443561562177135632850951212003
FINAL RESULT : 4
Verify : open the NIST API Link above,
compute int(outputValue, 16) % 100 + 1
4th unique trader (ranked by first settled bet): @AIM (https://manifold.markets/AIM)