Big Mysteries in Physics Survey - Hubble Tension
3
175Ṁ104Jan 1
31%
Systematic errors in supernova data
10%
Systematic errors in CMB/galaxy-survey data
14%
Early dark energy (i.e., a change in the dark energy between epochs)
4%
Other new particles or fields
11%
Other
20%
No opinion
10%
Modified or quantum gravity
Background. American Physical Society is holding a Big Mysteries in Physics Survey ( https://physics.aps.org/articles/v18/140) on the toughest questions facing physicists today. One among the questions is posed in this market.
Resolution. This market will resolve to the survey result (in percentages) once it becomes available to the public.
Consideration. For reference, the survey result for the same question at a physics conference held in 2024 is shown below (https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.15776). See also https://youtu.be/e7Rq_Vjhqu4?feature=shared
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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