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MANIFOLD
Big Mysteries in Physics Survey - Fate of Matter Inside a Black Hole
4
Ṁ150Ṁ61
resolved Jun 10
41%16%
It is crushed into a singularity
17%10%
Other
17%26%
No opinion
14%21%
A black hole is in reality a "fuzzball," a quantum object that doesn't have an event horizon.
6%11%
It bounces out into another universe
5%16%
It bounces out into our universe

Background. American Physical Society is holding a Big Mysteries in Physics Survey ( https://physics.aps.org/articles/v18/140) on the toughest questions facing physicists today. One among the questions is posed in this market.

Resolution. This market will resolve to the survey result (in percentages) once it becomes available to the public.

Consideration. For reference, the survey result for the same question at a physics conference held in 2024 is shown below (https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.15776). See also https://youtu.be/e7Rq_Vjhqu4?feature=shared

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