Big Mysteries in Physics Survey - Fate of Matter Inside a Black Hole
2
150Ṁ212026
27%
It is crushed into a singularity
15%
A black hole is in reality a "fuzzball," a quantum object that doesn't have an event horizon.
12%
It bounces out into our universe
12%
It bounces out into another universe
23%
Other
12%
No opinion
Background. American Physical Society is holding a Big Mysteries in Physics Survey ( https://physics.aps.org/articles/v18/140) on the toughest questions facing physicists today. One among the questions is posed in this market.
Resolution. This market will resolve to the survey result (in percentages) once it becomes available to the public.
Consideration. For reference, the survey result for the same question at a physics conference held in 2024 is shown below (https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.15776). See also https://youtu.be/e7Rq_Vjhqu4?feature=shared
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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