What proportion of seats will Labour win in the next election for Parliament?
12
160Ṁ3083
resolved Jan 10
Resolved as
63%

After the next election for UK Parliament, this question will resolve to the percentage of seats that were won by the Labour party in the House of Commons. If the election has not happened by close date, the date will be extended.

This market was created for OPTIC London S24. A question in that tournament will resolve according to the probability of this market at a random time during the week of March 24.

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opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 60% order

@toms can this be resolved? The election was held on 4th July 2024 and Labour won 411 out of 650 seats, for about 63% of the seats.

Although I think you should consider resolving NA because some people seem to have been trading under the impression that this market was about the election after the one in 2024.

@mods A bit of a conundrum here.

@Fion apologies, I forgot that I created this market, I’ll reasons it promptly

@toms I don’t think resolving NA makes sense, the start date of the market should have made it clear what “next” referred to

@Fion yea I thought this was for 2029

Arb with

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