
This market resolves proportionally to how the retroactive funding gets distributed (e.g. if project A gets $20,000 in retroactive funding, B gets $10,000, and C gets $10,000, then this market resolves 50% A, 25% B, and 25% C).
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# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ28 | |
2 | Ṁ11 | |
3 | Ṁ10 |
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Results are out! I'm going to go with the final final results, rather than the final results. I'm going to leave the market unresolved for at least another week (since I do think this is ambiguous) if anyone has counterarguments.
@toms Out of the included options, Crystal Ballin' got 1%, OPTIC got 33%, UoM education got 27%, Kelly Bets got 25%, superforecaster predictions got 7%, comparing platforms got 3%, college majors got 1%, earthquakes got 0.45%, interpretable AI forecasts got 1%, and standardized tools got 2%. Full calculations here. Let me know if I got anything wrong, and I'll do my best to make it right.