When will there be the option to cure/eliminate trisomy 21?
1
1kṀ502038
September 14, 2032
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
12%
2026-2027
15%
2028-2029
15%
2030-2031
15%
2032-2033
15%
2034-2035
15%
2036-2037
15%
Not available by 2038
A recent study (2025) demonstrated the removal of the extra chromosome 21 in trisomy 21 cells using CRISPR-Cas9 technology in a lab. This market predicts when this approach or another enables the option to eliminate trisomy 21 in embryos/babies. Doesn't have to be IVF.
I will not trade in this market.
When this market shows clear consensus for a more detailed time range, I might create a more specific market.
Resolution criteria:
Has to be available to anyone (no limited trials. High cost or only one location would qualify though)
Has to be legal and proven to work
Does not have to have a 100% success rate
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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