Will a US state pass legislation making Psilocybin legal for recreational use before the end of 2025?
39
Ṁ1kṀ9.2kresolved Mar 7
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Legislation must have passed before Jan 1 2026, but the law does not need to have gone into effect.
Decriminalization does not count -- legislation must allow for commercial sales of psilocybin for non-medical purposes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ319 | |
| 2 | Ṁ136 | |
| 3 | Ṁ115 | |
| 4 | Ṁ95 | |
| 5 | Ṁ46 |
Sort by:
California's SB 1012 recently failed in the legislature, but would it have counted?
On the "no, it shouldn't" side: It would not have permitted sale of psilocybin for off-premises use, nor home production (growing your own); only dispensing and use within designated centers with licensed facilitators.
On the "yes, it should" side: It would not have required such centers be limited to treating medical conditions, and in fact forbade facilitators from promoting psychedelics with medical claims.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a U.S. state legalize marijuana in 2026
70% chance
Will Massachusetts decriminalize psilocybin before 2026?
62% chance
Will California decriminalize psilocybin mushrooms before 2027?
30% chance
Will a majority of states legalize psychedelics by 2033?
17% chance
Will Washington state decriminalize ALL psychedelics by 2026?
17% chance
Will psychedelics be decriminalized by the majority of US states by 2030?
22% chance
Will Psilocybin mushrooms be legal to own in Illinois by end of year 2050?
82% chance
Will psilocybin be legal to sell in SF by 2030?
80% chance
Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027?
23% chance
Which countries will legalize psychedelics by the end of 2029? [ADD ANSWERS]