Will a US state pass legislation making Psilocybin legal for recreational use before the end of 2025?
33
1kṀ29082026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Legislation must have passed before Jan 1 2026, but the law does not need to have gone into effect.
Decriminalization does not count -- legislation must allow for commercial sales of psilocybin for non-medical purposes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
California's SB 1012 recently failed in the legislature, but would it have counted?
On the "no, it shouldn't" side: It would not have permitted sale of psilocybin for off-premises use, nor home production (growing your own); only dispensing and use within designated centers with licensed facilitators.
On the "yes, it should" side: It would not have required such centers be limited to treating medical conditions, and in fact forbade facilitators from promoting psychedelics with medical claims.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Washington state decriminalize ALL psychedelics by 2026?
51% chance
Will psilocybin-containing mushrooms be legalized recreationally in the US by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will psilocybin be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will psilocybin be legal to sell in San Francisco by end of 2025?
31% chance
Will a majority of states legalize psychedelics by 2033?
18% chance
Which states in the USA will legalize the recreational use of Marijuana (Cannabis) (Weed) before 2026?
Will Massachusetts decriminalize psilocybin before 2026?
86% chance
Will psychedelics be decriminalized by the majority of US states by 2030?
27% chance
Will Psilocybin mushrooms be legal to own in Illinois by end of year 2050?
77% chance
Will California decriminalize psilocybin mushrooms before 2027?
79% chance