Will the 2025 Gävle goat be destroyed?
27
1kṀ7663
2026
40%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if any of the following conditions (or a combination) cause damages in excess of SEK 50,000 or otherwise destroy the Gävle goat constructed in 2025:

  • Arson

  • Bombing

  • Natural disaster (e.g. blizzard)

  • Vehicular impact

  • Smashing to pieces or toppling by humans

  • Collapse due to weather or poor construction

Any condition causing the goat to be withered down almost entirely to its frame (e.g. due to attack by birds or incomplete burning) will automatically resolve YES.

The market will also resolve YES if the goat is stolen by helicopter or truck from its original display location and not recovered intact before January 1, 2026.

The market resolves NO if the goat is not damaged throughout its exhibition period in 2025 or suffers only minor structural damage.

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