Will any polls show Haley leading Trump in the NH GOP presidential primary per 538?
139
1.4kṀ27k
resolved Jan 23
Resolved
NO
American Research Group: Trump +4
UNH and Suffolk polls indicate a narrowing gap, but Trump maintains a lead two weeks from primary day.
-15.0%
on
Christie announces suspension of campaign; analysts predict this may help consolidate anti-Trump Republicans behind Haley.
+10%
on
Ramaswamy drops out, endorses Trump
Ron DeSantis drops out of race unexpectedly, but too late to impact any polling
Likely final ARG poll released

Outcome is resolved on whether there is at least one poll listed on FiveThirtyEight’s page (added January 22 or earlier) where Nikki Haley has a higher percentage of respondents supporting for nomination than Donald Trump.

A poll showing both candidates at the same percentage may be evaluated further at the original source.

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