Reports have claimed that Donald Trump is privately encouraging Republican candidates to support abortion bans that would outlaw abortions after 15 or 16 weeks. Trump has publicly stated to Sean Hannity that he is discussing and thinking about this type of ban.
This market will only look at a national ban. Trump expressing support for a particular state’s ban will not cause the market to resolve. Only the cutoff week of the ban will count; any proposed exceptions to the ban will not affect the result of the market.
I will not bet on this market.
Seems like we’ll know more shortly!
@themightysalmon No national ban endorsement. I’ll leave the market up in case he changes his mind prior to the election.
“The number of weeks now, people are agreeing on 15. And I’m thinking in terms of that. And it’ll come out to something that’s very reasonable. But people are really, even hard-liners are agreeing, seems to be, 15 weeks seems to be a number that people are agreeing at."
“Everybody agrees — you’ve heard this for years — all the legal scholars on both sides agree: It’s a state issue. It shouldn’t be a federal issue, it’s a state issue,” he said."
https://apnews.com/article/trump-abortion-ban-15-weeks-91a9e0ce87d11dff0fa761f327bd0566