Which will happen first: a human turns 65 on Mars, or a human 65 or older flies to Mars?
13
Ṁ1kṀ3522050
Human 65+ flies to Mars first65%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the person turns 65 en route to Mars, market will resolve “flies to Mars first.”
If flying, they must be successful - the senior citizen must land and survive.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which will happen first: a child is born on Mars, or a child flies to Mars?
Will the first person to walk on Mars be aged 45 years or older?
37% chance
In what year will a human die on Mars?
How old will the first person to step on Mars be
When will a human land on the Mars?
When will a (living) human first set foot on Mars?
2039
When will a human first set foot on Mars?
Which happens first: Human spends six months on the Moon or Human lands on Mars?
Will a human walk on Mars before 2045?
56% chance
In what year will a human walk on Mars?
2038