Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2030?
Standard
11
Ṁ1317
2030
26%
chance

This market will work the same as the 2035 market, but with a 2030 closing date: https://manifold.markets/the_coproduct/will-react-still-be-the-most-popula

The 2030 date was chosen to match the "successor" market: https://manifold.markets/Quillist/react-is-no-longer-the-most-popular

This market resolves YES if React remains the most popular front-end development framework at the beginning of 2030, according to Stack Overflow trends.

This is what front-end framework popularity looked like in mid-2024:


If Stack Overflow trends are no longer trustworthy due to declining usage of Stack Overflow or if they no longer exist in 2030, this market will resolve based on the number of public repositories created on GitHub using React vs. other front-end frameworks in the year 2029.

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