Will we expect SBF to serve more than 15 years in prison?

Basic

10

Ṁ248Nov 11

61%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is about how much time he will actually spend in prison including any reductions in sentence. Resolves to market probability in one year.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and3.00

## Related questions

## Related questions

How many years will SBF be sentenced in US as of 2025-01-01?

25

Will SBF spend at least a decade in prison?

81% chance

How much time will SBF serve in jail/prison/house-arrest?

Will SBF serve his full 25 year sentence?

20% chance

Will SBF spend at least five years in prison?

94% chance

When will SBF be released from prison

Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?

81% chance

Will SBF spend at least three years in prison?

95% chance

Will SBF spend at least one year in jail?

97% chance

Will SBF die in prison?

11% chance