Will the killer of Brian Thompson be arrested by the end of 2024?
Basic
47
๐•Š1438
resolved Dec 9
Resolved
YES

Admin clarification before sweepifying:
If somebody is arrested who the mainstream media/police claim is the killer this will resolve as YES immediately. They do not have to be found guilty and if they end up being released as not the killer the market will remain resolved as yes.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):

  • Market resolves NO if the killer is found dead or killed by law enforcement

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@LuigiMangione could've made a killing

@barbarous Wow. Too soon.

@Predictor manifold staff already made this joke on twitter lmao

@strutheo actually too late hahaha

.

His cousin is a Maryland state legislator lmao

if his id is what the media is reporting I can see what drove him to a life of crime

bought แน€382 YES

@dlin007 His twitter filled with psychedelics and AI commentary, reminds me of this crowd

@Riley12 he definitely belongs on Manifold

how ISNT this guy on manifold

@strutheo lmaoooooo knew it. Looks like only activity was jake paul, trump no prison, and trump to win. Account was made in may but we sure it's not a troll who changed the name?

Edit: you can change your @ but I guess it's not the case here.

they confirmed the sign up email, look at this tweet lmao

@strutheo ah, a bit insensitive maybe?

@strutheo he only ever placed 3 bets but they were all correct (that trump would win the election, that jake paul would beat mike tyson, and that trump wouldn't go to jail)

Big year for McDonalds in PA.

1 min ago

NOW: New York City mayor and police officials hold news conference

From CNN's Lauren Mascarenhas

New York City Mayor Eric Adams, along with police officials, is holding a news conference. They are expected to address the arrest of a man in connection with the fatal shooting of UnitedHealthCare CEO Brian Thompson.

This was very underpriced tbh

@Sam2877 Still overpriced. Everyone is overreacting to a non-sure thing.

@Predictor I'm not so sure, the market resolution criteria is that the media claims this is the killer - given the presence of a manifesro, weapon, silencer, resembelance and him being detained it's pretty certain.

@Sam2877 Just wait for the twist, I'm telling you.

@Predictor lol let's see

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