Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before 2025 ends?

13

200Ṁ411

2026

78%

chance

8

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Pivot

May 17

50k! On day 231

Jul 11

I will be using the Manifold leaderboard to measure the traders, most likely.

Here is an auto updating page with daily traders.

P.S. Please check the latest version of the leaderboard available at this link, or contact me, before resolving this market (in cases where I'm inactive for 7+ days).

Graph:

The trader counter stops at midnight.

Real traders, real trading only

Related: /strutheo/will-strutheo-get-100000-traders-be

Inspired by @firstuserhere 's market /_deleted_/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step

Update 2025-05-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Manifold leaderboard will be the definitive source used to measure the number of traders for resolution.

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1,000

to start trading!

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reposted 1d

Currently, the number on the Leaderboard is different from the one on your profile. You write you "will be using the Manifold leaderboard to measure the traders, most likely", but in the next sentence you link to your profile. Which one will count?

@4fa yeah we didn't realize they were different at the time. We are using leaderboard

@strutheo Thanks! I found out the hard way: https://manifold.markets/4fa/by-when-will-chris-strutheo-reach-8#su0i8406sna (Trying to figure out whether to N/A or to reopen with "Leaderboard" in the title.)

[Short Fuse] By when will chris (strutheo) reach 80k traders?

As of market creation, @strutheo has 78,945 traders. I will use UTC+2 / CEST for my resolutions. So if 80k traders are not reached before a given day begins according to UTC+2, the corresponding option will resolve to NO. Select "Top traders" here: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards [link preview]

62k

reposted 7mo

60/100

58%

54%

reposted 9mo

50k! On day 231

reposted 10mo

46%

reposted 11mo

40% there

reposted 12mo

35% done

leaderboard changes finished i am back at 32,922

I don't know if its just me but the total traders don't appear to update for at least a couple days.

@Gugra yes it has been frozen

reposted 1y

🤔

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[Short Fuse] By when will chris (strutheo) reach 80k traders?

Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before June 2025 ends?

-11% 1d45% chance

In what month will I reach 100,000 traders?

Will the CoolFold 100 Challenge get 1000 traders by EOY 2025?

Will this market get at least 77 traders by the end of 2025?

Will this question get 100k traders before 2030?

Will this question get over 999.5 traders by 2030

Related questions

[Short Fuse] By when will chris (strutheo) reach 80k traders?

Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before June 2025 ends?

In what month will I reach 100,000 traders?

Will the CoolFold 100 Challenge get 1000 traders by EOY 2025?

Will this market get at least 77 traders by the end of 2025?

Will this question get 100k traders before 2030?

Will this question get over 999.5 traders by 2030

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