Will someone play Doom on the Moon by the end of 2060?
Will someone play Doom on the Moon by the end of 2060?
22
1kṀ10442061
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be a human playing the game on a computer/console, can be a remake or sequel

/strutheo/will-someone-play-doom-on-the-moon
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
I don't think they've found a method for arbitrary code execution on the moon yet, but this could change.
@BetsByAnon There would be about 3s of latency to send data between Earth and the Moon. So FPS games like Doom could really only be played by someone actually on the Moon.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will someone play Doom on the Moon by the end of 2050?
55% chance
Will someone play Doom on Mars by the end of 2060?
64% chance
Will someone play Doom on Mars by the end of 2050?
37% chance
Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?
58% chance
Will there be a death on the moon from any cause before the end of 2040?
54% chance
Will there be an orgy on the moon by the end of 2030?
5% chance
Will there be internet service on the Moon at the end of 2060?
83% chance
Will someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2040?
41% chance
Will there be a new human moon landing by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will a baby be born on the moon before the end of 2060?
24% chance