Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?
132
1.1kṀ27k2041
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To determine if AGI is achieved we will use a combination of other markets / mainstream news / Manifold poll if need be
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be alive on the one year anniversary of strong AGI being credibly announced?
73% chance
Will Sam Altman be killed by AI?
25% chance
Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?
50% chance
Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?
23% chance
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
65% chance
What will Sam Altman be doing on June 30 2025?
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
63% chance
Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?
51% chance
Will Sam Altman still be alive by EOY 2045?
69% chance
Will Sam Altman reference OpenAI achieving AGI in five tweets prior to the official announcement?
22% chance