Will 1 kg of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2040?
Basic
6
Ṁ1472041
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Asteroid sample return research missions, such as Hayabusa, Hayabusa2, and OSIRIS-REx illustrate the challenges of collecting ore from space using current technology. As of 2023, less than 7 grams of asteroid material has been successfully returned to Earth from space. In progress missions promise to increase this amount to approximately 60 grams (two ounces). Asteroid research missions are complex endeavors and return a tiny amount of material (less than 1 milligram Hayabusa, 100 milligrams Hayabusa2, 70 grams OSIRIS-REx) relative to the size and expense of these projects ($300 million Hayabusa, $800 million Hayabusa2, $1.16 billion OSIRIS-REx).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will 1 kg of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2030?
21% chance
Will 1000 kg of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2065?
68% chance
Will an asteroid be mined for minerals before 2040?
51% chance
Will 1 ton of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2075?
75% chance
Will 1000 kg of Moon material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2050?
67% chance
What will be true about asteroid mining by end of 2060?
By 2040, will an organisation be mining asteroids for resources?
48% chance
Will humanity be mining asteroids by 2100?
75% chance
will a whole asteroid be recovered on earth by 2030
30% chance
By 2035, will an organisation be mining asteroids for resources?
33% chance