Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?
9
closes 2027
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ16 +69%
New probability
61% +3%
To resolve yes, I must complete any official full-distance Ironman event within the cutoff time. At the time of market creation, I'm quite a strong runner, a mediocre swimmer, and I can barely ride a bike. I will only bet YES on this market.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Jonny Spicerpredicts YES
@BrendanFinan I'm currently living in London, so probably Bolton, as I believe that's the only one in the UK. If I decide to commit to doing one then I'll look which ones are easily accessible on the Eurostar, but in general I don't want the headache of doing too much traveling with a bike.
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