Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?
10
1kṀ1712027
56%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve yes, I must complete any official full-distance Ironman event within the cutoff time. At the time of market creation, I'm quite a strong runner, a mediocre swimmer, and I can barely ride a bike. I will only bet YES on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@BrendanFinan I'm currently living in London, so probably Bolton, as I believe that's the only one in the UK. If I decide to commit to doing one then I'll look which ones are easily accessible on the Eurostar, but in general I don't want the headache of doing too much traveling with a bike.