Will evidence come out to show "gpt2-chatbot" was created and/or posted by OpenAI before the end of 2024?
58
1kṀ14kresolved May 13
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if
Open AI makes a statement
Any Open AI employee confirms it
A credible leak that is corroborated by at least one independent source

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@strutheo My guess at the algorithm that went behind this was "what true thing can I say that doesn't confirm nor deny our involvement with this, but which still makes people excited?"
This doesn't feel like a tweet he'd make if OA had stealth dropped a model for beta-testing in the AI Arena. Not strong evidence, but that tweet feels like something you'd be more likely to see in a world where someone else is behind it but Sam is getting a bunch of DMs asking if OA is behind it.
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