Will Clint Eastwood get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?
Will Clint Eastwood get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?
7
220Ṁ902031
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Robert De Niro get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?
65% chance
Will Leonardo Di Caprio get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?
70% chance
Will Al Pacino get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?
62% chance
Will Clint Eastwood live to 100 years old?
23% chance
at what age will Clint Eastwood die?
POLL
Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?
81% chance
Will someone named Rigoberto or Rigobert be nominated for an Academy Award / Oscar before April 1st 2032?
23% chance
Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?
65% chance
Will Tom Cruise win another Best Actor or Best Supporting Actor Oscar by 2030?
20% chance
Will Eli Manning be inducted into the NFL Hall of Fame by 2030?
79% chance