Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
3
100Ṁ22Nov 26
41%
chance
1H
6H
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Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve. Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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