Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2024?
Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2024?
11
500Ṁ3355resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ232 | |
| 2 | Ṁ57 | |
| 3 | Ṁ45 | |
| 4 | Ṁ24 | |
| 5 | Ṁ16 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
50% chance
Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will any USA state ban self driving cars by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will a state in the USA ban Uber And/or Lyft outright for all counties and cities by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?
55% chance
Will it be illegal to drive a car in the US by end of 2040?
4% chance
Will any USA State pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2030?
45% chance
Will a state in the USA ban Airbnb outright for all residences by the end of 2025?
41% chance
Will Congress pass a law banning the sale of Human Driven cars to the average consumer by the end of 2040?
43% chance