Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2050? | Manifold

Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2050?

31

1kṀ3065

2051

91%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Space exploration

Space colonization

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

bought Ṁ50 NO

No one has walked on the moon in over 50 years, which should imply a prior of 2/3 against anyone doing it in the next 25. Then the actual number should be lower because weadd a woman-specific clause.

reposted

bump

People are also trading

Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?

-3% 1d58% chance

Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2030?

Will a human walk on Mars before 2045?

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040?

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2035?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2026?

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2031?

Related questions

Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?

Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2030?

Will a human walk on Mars before 2045?

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040?

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2035?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2026?

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2031?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy