Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
17
51
Ṁ340Ṁ1k
2033
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus
Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
Market open until one happens
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will a human walk on Mars before strong AGI is achieved?
38% chance
Will strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
63% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
56% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2043?
49% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
37% chance
Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
33% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?
45% chance