🥇Which three countries will win the most Gold medals at the 2024 Paris Olympics?
50
722
3.8K
Aug 2
97%
United States
93%
China
54%
France
53%
Great Britain
19%
Japan
16%
Germany
13%
Authorized Neutral Athletes (permitted individuals from Russia/Belarus)
12%
Australia
4%
Netherlands
3%
Canada
2%
Hungary
2%
Brazil
2%
Spain
1.9%
South Korea
1.4%
Cuba
1.1%
Jaimaca
1%
Kenya
1%
New Zealand
1%
Czechia
Resolved
N/A
ROC / Russia (Not Allowed To Compete)
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bought Ṁ10 of Belgium NO

Will you resolve the top three earners to YES (not %)?

@NicoDelon yes (assuming i set it up correctly)

sold Ṁ25 of Italy NO

@strutheo ok, so USA and China are very safe options.

ROC / Russia (Not Allowed To Compete)

Under which flag?

bought Ṁ10 of Portugal NO

@NicoDelon going to assume roc unless they say otherwise

sold Ṁ41 of ROC / Russia (Not Al... NO

@strutheo OK, that’s different, but even then it’s not clear they’ll be allowed to compete as part of the ROC.

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20231205-sports-bodies-ask-ioc-to-allow-russians-as-neutrals-for-2024-olympics

The IOC suspended the Russian Olympic Committee (ROC) on October 12 for violating the territorial integrity of the membership of Ukraine by recognising illegally annexed territories.

@NicoDelon Should i make it russia (country) and make another for roc (if allowed to compete) ?

bought Ṁ20 of ROC / Russia (Not Al... NO

@strutheo By country you mean Russian athletes? That’s not how they would be ranked, would it? That is definitely not how I bet.

@NicoDelon i am not sure what the original person meant either. they put russia without specifying. if you have a proposed solution i'll be happy to change it

bought Ṁ10 of Brazil NO

@strutheo I think sticking with ROC for now is best. Maybe the IOC will make a judgment call for how they’ll rank countries in the next few months.

sold Ṁ3 of ROC / Russia (Not Al... YES

@NicoDelon Would you resolve NA if they’re not allowed to compete?

@NicoDelon sure that sounds good, as soon as we have confirmation from the ioc

bought Ṁ10 of Hungary YES

@strutheo I had Russia not being able to compete because of doping somewhere in the back of my head, but I have no clue about the difference between ROC and Russia for instance. I was thinking Russia’s ban could be lifted but didn’t research at all.

bought Ṁ50 of China YES

@JaimeSantaCruz this time it's because of the war in Ukraine and it might be harsher than the doping-related ban

@JaimeSantaCruz no worries, we're all learning here. i didnt know roc was recently banned either

bought Ṁ10 of ROC / Russia (Not Al... NO

@strutheo doesn't bode well for the ROC. I suppose it's fine to add an option for Russian athletes then (though since teams and flags are banned, it's unclear to me if they'll even be featured in the rankings).

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