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🧭Which of these things will happen before Ukraine joins NATO? [ADD RESPONSES]
53
Ṁ2.8kṀ7.7k
2050
98.6%
GTA 6 is released
95%
windows 12 released by microsoft
90%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy stops being President of Ukraine
87%
king charles no longer king of uk
81%
Taika Waititi 's star wars movie releases first trailer
81%
Joe Biden dies
74%
Star Citizen OR Hytale OR YandareSimulator releases fully to the public
73%
Official sub 2:00 marathon
72%
chat gpt 6 released
65%
Vladimir Putin dies
65%
Lex Fridman interviews Putin
64%
Human steps foot on the moon again
64%
Moldova joins NATO
62%
Kingdom Hearts 4 released
59%
Manifold reaches 2000 engaged users at least one time
52%
Credible reports of AGI
51%
Ukraine's ranking on the Corruption Perception Index for all countries improves to 80th or better (chart is at the bottom of this article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Ukraine)
51%
Woman becomes President of the United States
50%
One Piece manga final chapter and series ends
45%
Tom Scott's THIS VIDEO HAS X VIEWS reaches 100M

  • Update 2025-07-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has acknowledged that the market was misresolved and will likely correct it.

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@JaredHoffman @strutheo misresolved?

@deagol oops

@strutheo only mods can unresolve it pls ty @mods

bought Ṁ531 YES

resolves YES

resolves YES

bought Ṁ486 YES

@Tumbles resolves YES

bought Ṁ200 YES

bump

reposted

https://kyivindependent.com/nato-leadership-clarifies-ukraines-irreversible-path-toward-membership/

bought Ṁ200 YES

@strutheo https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2024/06/18/nvidia-now-worlds-most-valuable-company-topping-microsoft-and-apple/

bought Ṁ25 YES

I put Ukraine joining NATO at extremely low odds, on the other hand Joe Biden dying is very plausible (though I wish him well).

People are also trading

Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
3% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia?
9% chance
[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
11% chance
Will Ukraine become an official member of NATO while it does not control all of the territory within its 1991 borders?
48% chance
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy live to see Ukraine join NATO?
24% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before 2000 Pokemon Release?
48% chance
Will Ukraine joins NATO before there is a new largest known Prime number? (Last one - Oct 21 2024)
5% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before 2500 Pokemon Release?
60% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the One Piece manga ends?
49% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?
40% chance
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