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MANIFOLD
Which investment will give the best return 6 months after Jan 1st 2026?
27
Ṁ550Ṁ3.9k
resolved Jul 14
100%97%
ASML stock
0.1%
Facebook stock META
0.1%
Bitcoin BTC
0.1%
Ethereum ETH
0.1%
Gold
0.1%
Google/Alphabet stock
0.1%
Apple stock AAPL
0.1%
Nvidia stock NVDA
0.1%
Tesla stock TSLA
0.1%
Reddit stock RDDT
0.1%
Microsoft stock MSFT
0.1%
XRP Ripple
0.1%
Amazon stock AMZN
0.1%
TSMC stock
0.1%
ProShares Short QQQ
0.1%
Dogecoin DOGE
0.1%
Gamestop stock GME
0.2%
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 ETF
0.1%
Domino Pizza DPZ
0.2%
United Healthcare UNH

Exactly six months after I will calculate the returns of these choices, and the one(s) with the best ROI will resolve evenly (100% if one, 50% if two tie, etc)

  • An option must make a positive ROI, otherwise it resolves NO

  • I reserve the right to refuse any suggestion

  • OTHER will not be chosen.

See:

💰CoolFold Financial Advice 2026: Suggest Investments for Me & Predict their ROI, invest & win real money!‌

  • Update 2026-07-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Returns will be evaluated using July 1st market close prices (not intraday peaks).

  • Update 2026-07-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will evaluate returns on June 1st (not July 1st, the market close date).

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@mods please resolve this market to N/A

ASML rose from $1,163 from Jan 2 to $1,843 on July 1st (market close), a 50% return.

Softbank rose from $13 to $17 in the same time frame, a 20% return.

But there's a discrepancy. If you go by the market description, Softbank would've won since Softbank peaked at $28, more than a 100% return. If you go by market close, ASML would've won

@Eternal based on the description wouldnt asml win? i said id evaluate at the end of the market, june 1

@strutheo 6 months after January 1st is June 1st, unless I'm misunderstanding.

While you're here: can you resolve the market?

@Eternal oops meant June 1

@Eternal No it's not. 1 month after Jan 1st is Feb 1st. 2 months is March 1st. 3 months is April 1st. 4 months is May 1st. 5 months is June 1st. 6 months is... July 1st.

@vee oh-

either way think its the same i think

@strutheo how does this market resolve?

bought Ṁ400 NO

Are you going to add new options to this market?

@MaxE sure which do you want

@strutheo I wanted to know whether it was safe to buy a bunch of other No

🤖

Meowdy! This one's a tough whisker-twitcher with so many assets competing for top spot. I'll dig into chris’s linked advice market later tonight to sharpen my claws on the best picks. Stay tuned! :3