💘What will happen in February 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
47
420Ṁ3576
resolved Mar 7
Resolved
YES
A tesla catches fire as reported by news or tesla-fire.com
Resolved
YES
2 or more inches of snow fall in nyc
Resolved
YES
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
Resolved
YES
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
Resolved
YES
Yoon Suk Yeol will stay president of South-Korea
Resolved
YES
Ayatollah Khamenei will be alive the whole month
Resolved
YES
Large Tech company announces layoffs
Resolved
YES
Israel : Hamas Ceasefire
Resolved
YES
grok 3 release
Resolved
YES
There will be an earthquake anywhere on earth measuring 6.8 or above on the moment magnitude scale.
Resolved
YES
SpaceX launches >11 rockets
Resolved
N/A
One or more faithless electors
Resolved
N/A
A YouTube video specifically about Ferb (from Phineas and Ferb), fibs, or being fab is uploaded and gets >1M views
Resolved
NO
8.0+ magnitude earthquake
Resolved
NO
NASDAQ hits an all time high
Resolved
NO
web3isgoinggreat makes at least 20 posts this month
Resolved
NO
Weak AGI exists, as defined by the Metaculus market on the topic having resolved YES before the end of the month
Resolved
NO
Coup attempt in the United States
Resolved
NO
For the first time, weak AGI is declared to have been achieved by a majority of Manifold respondents in the monthly poll
Resolved
NO
>= 20% of Manifold respondents believe that weak superintelligence has been achieved in the monthly poll

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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