Will a new FKT be set for the Appalachian Trail in 2026?

Question

Will a new self-supported, northbound fastest known time (FKT) be set for the Appalachian Trail in 2026?

The current record was set in 2025 by Jeff Garmire, who completed the trail traveling southbound in 45 days, 8 hours, 37 minutes.

Will 'Sisyphus' Peterson announced on March 23rd that he'll be attempting to set a new record this year. Will holds numerous other FKTs and is a serious contender for the record. https://fastestknowntime.com/athlete/will-sisyphus-peterson

Update 2026-03-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution criteria has been broadened to include a new FKT set in either direction (northbound or southbound), not just northbound.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 11% chance (4 traders, as of May 22, 2026).