What will be the top 5 leading causes of Death in the USA at the end of 2028?
What will be the top 5 leading causes of Death in the USA at the end of 2028?
18
1kṀ6662029
95%
Heart Disease
92%
Cancer
88%
Accidents
76%
Stroke
40%
Alzheimer's
29%
Liver Disease / Cirrhosis
15%
Diabetes
10%
H5N1 influenza
10%
COVID-19
5%
Suicide
Resolves 100% on the top 5
2022 data for comparison
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What will be the leading cause of death in the USA in 2050?
Will the set of the 2023 top 5 causes of death be different by 2030? (In USA)
79% chance
Will Cancer Be Ranked 4th or Lower Among the Leading Causes of Death in the US by 2050?
41% chance
Will Cancer Be Ranked 4th or Lower Among the Leading Causes of Death in the US by 2035?
45% chance
Will heart disease no longer be the leading cause of death in the US in any year prior to 2031?
33% chance
What will be the life expectancy in the USA in 2050?
Will a Novel Disease Identified by 2025 Cause Over 100 Deaths by End of 2027?
41% chance
Will Cancer kill more people than Heart Disease in the USA in 2026?
17% chance
American life expectancy decreases in 2025?
28% chance
Who will die by EOY 2025