π§ββοΈWhat crimes will active Manifold users be indicted for before the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold β’Law & Order β’Manifold Users β’Court cases β’Crime β’Law β’Legal Decisions β’Law and Crime
9
61
αΉ511αΉ1.2K
2031
1D
1W
1M
ALL
68%
Tax Evasion
62%
Possession of a controlled substance
55%
Money Laundering
50%
Forgery
50%
Embezzlement
50%
Extortion
50%
Cruelty to animals
50%
Child pornography possession
44%
Kidnapping
44%
Unauthorized practice of law
44%
Rape
40%
Insider trading (on real financial markets)
40%
Perjury
35%
Unlicensed practice of medicine
35%
Hate Crimes (USA)
25%
Blackmail
20%
Grand Theft Auto
20%
Murder 2nd degree
20%
Burglary
20%
Manslaugher
Must have trades or questions made within the last 3 months
Get αΉ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Public Intoxication
To my knowledge, this is typically a misdemeanor which does not require an indictment (though it can be indicted, there are other less onerous route which the prosecution would likely use). Will you be resolving this market according to the real meaning of indictment, or just as a shorthand for "formally accused of"?
Related questions
Will a lawsuit involve Manifold before 2028?
56% chance
Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
5% chance
Will Marc Andreessen be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
9% chance
Will anyone who admitted to a crime on Manifold have it used as evidence against them in a court case before 2028?
16% chance
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
27% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?
83% chance
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030?
9% chance
Will Andrew Huberman be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2031?
27% chance
Will a lawsuit involve Manifold before 2027?
36% chance