If TikTok is removed from the app store, will an iPhone with TikTok installed sell for $10,000+ on eBay within 1yr?
If TikTok is removed from the app store, will an iPhone with TikTok installed sell for $10,000+ on eBay within 1yr?
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bought Ṁ300 NO1y
Either I'm going to win a bunch of mana on this market, or I'm going to make a bunch of real money selling sideloaded iPhones for $9000 on eBay. Win-win.
No, because
(1) TikTok is already on WAYYYYY more people's phones than Flappy Bird (so "a phone with TikTok" won't be as hot of a commodity),
(2) TikTok (unlike Flappy Bird) has a website that you don't need a phone to view, and
(3) Flappy Bird was taken down on the app stores of phones everywhere, while TikTok might only get banned in the U.S. (but would still be available literally-everywhere-that-already has access to it).
reposted 1y
will there be a flappy bird situation with tiktok
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/feb/10/phones-flappy-bird-ebay-app-store
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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