MANIFOLD
How many bids will this origami crane get on eBay?
19
Ṁ650Ṁ3.5k
resolved Oct 15
Resolved
10 - 19
100%6%
10 - 19
0.1%
9 or less
67%
20 - 39
20%
40 - 69
8%
70 or more

there is nothing special about the crane other than i folded it myself

resolves once i confirm payment and ship the crane

only the bids shown on the main page count

Link to listing: https://ebay.us/m/pLFK9g

inspired by

@EvanDaniel

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ871
2Ṁ38
3Ṁ30
4Ṁ25
5Ṁ23
Sort by:

@strutheo Can this resolve? Looks like it got 17 bids to me?

Do we dare ask the market question, "Will the crane buyer leave a positive seller review?"? (Chris, you can steal this idea and make the market if you want to.)

@Quroe if my eBay rating tanks from this ill be sad lol

@strutheo Hence why I was apprehensive to create a perverse incentive by making such a market.

sold Ṁ9 NO

6 bids already lol

@strutheo It might be good to clarify in the description that auto-bids don't count as bids (the current listed number of bids is 8, but if you count up all of the bids including auto-bids you get 13)

@SimonWestlake good point

opened a Ṁ600 YES at 5% order

24 hours. Go.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy